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Harris Associates於1976年成立,擅長價值投資。透過Harris美國價值股票基金,發掘被市場低估,但業務持續增長及管理層一致的企業。
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Thematic investing

Why everyone's talking about… the future of work

8月 24, 2022 - 7 分鐘的閱讀時間

When it comes to how we work, Covid just changed everything. As we continue to adjust to new ways of working, will the future herald a quiet revolution or mass disruption?

In the 1930s, the British economist John Maynard Keynes made a startling prediction: by the time his children had grown up, people might be working just 15 hours a week.1

That didn’t come to pass. Instead, Keynes died of a heart attack in 1946 – allegedly from working too hard – and average annual working hours have barely budged since.2

Sure, the steady rise of white-collar service jobs, the wholesale destruction of unions, and the advent of the internet may have changed the nature of work over time. But nothing near as drastic as Keynes – and others – had foretold.

Then came Covid – and everything changed. Not only are many of us now working from home more often, a trend that is having vast and underappreciated ripple effects across the economy. But the massive increase in AI investment in the past 18 months could one day make Keynes’ prediction a reality – or worse, see millions disappear from the workforce altogether.

All this means the next 50 years of work, and society as a result, will look radically different from today. Yet it’s a revolution that many investors are still overlooking.

Glossary

WFH (Working from home): WFH means an employee is working from their house, apartment, or place of residence, rather than working from the office

Artificial intelligence (AI) – the simulation of human intelligence processes by machines, especially computer systems. Specific applications of AI include expert systems, natural language processing, speech recognition and machine vision.

Augmented intelligence - a subsection of AI machine learning developed to enhance human intelligence rather than operate independently of or outright replace it.

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